Mar 14

Opening Day Countdown: 24

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 24 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

24

is the number of games the 2011 Royals were out of first place at the end of the season.

The AL Central was the least close divisional race, with 15 games separating 1st and 2nd place. Even the 102-win Phillies didn’t win their division by that many games. A combination of weak competition and outperformance of their Pythag led the Tigers to their 95 wins. (Weirdly, the Royals were the only AL Central team who underperformed, based on Pythag.)

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Mar 13

Opening Day Countdown: 25

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 25 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Lough's teeth are really white!

David Lough's super-white teeth should have their own Twitter...

Here are

25

Royals-affiliated Twitter accounts to check out:

TEAMS:
Royals
Storm Chasers
Naturals

PLAYERS:
Eric Hosmer
Wil Myers
Johnny Giavotella
Louis Coleman
Everett Teaford
Danny Duffy

Aaron Crow
Jarrod Dyson
Bruce Chen
David Lough
Clint Robinson
Luis Mendoza*
Derrick Robinson
Bubba Starling
Billy Butler
Joakim Soria*
Jonathan Sanchez*
Nathan Adcock
Salvador Perez*
Tim Smith

OTHER:
Sluggerrr
Werner Park

*primarily (or entirely) in Spanish

Of course, this list isn’t comprehensive. Other players do Tweet, and I did not have any rhyme or reason as to who made this list. They might not all be exciting or super-smart, but it is kind of fun to check in with your favorite prospects or whatever. Some, like Adcock, are great about answering questions and interacting with fans. Others, like Starling, mostly Tweet nonsense about what meals they’re eating. Teaford is my favorite, I think. Chen’s is a good source of really bad jokes.

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Mar 12

Opening Day Countdown: 26

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 26 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Gordon with a big swing

Only 5.4 WAR this year? Come on, guys.

 

26

is the approximate number of Wins Above Replacement the Royals offense was worth last season. For reference, the highest team WAR (for offense only) was Texas with 38.9, and the lowest was Seattle with a jaw-dropping 4.4. The Royals were 10th in the Majors.

This year’s lineup is pretty well set like so:

Gordon
Giavotella
Hosmer
Butler
Francoeur
Moustakas
Cain
Perez
Escobar

Yuni (ugh) and Getz (ugh) will sub in for Giavotella, Escobar, and Moustakas way more often than they should, and of course Pena will spell Perez behind the plate, but the top of the order is pretty well set.

Now, according to fans who submitted projections for each of these players at FanGraphs, this year’s Royals hitters will be worth 30.9 WAR (though no one has done projections for Jarrod Dyson or MITCH Maier yet). Most of these projections might be a hair optimistic, but they all seem mostly realistic.

The only ones that gave me pause were  Gordon at only 5.4 (compared to 6.9 actual WAR last year), and Moustakas at 3.3. If Moose were to produce at about the same rates as he did in a partial season last year, his WAR after a full-ish season would only be 1.1. (I went with 144 games, to match what the fan projections say.) Am I the only one who thinks a 3.3 WAR season would be a pretty big jump? I mean, lots of 3B put up more than that last season – including Alberto Callaspo, for the record.

Obviously I hope he does produce at that level. Overall, I think the fan projections are on track. It’s not ridiculous to think this year’s crop of hitters can put up 30 or more WAR. Not at all.

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Mar 11

Opening Day Countdown: 27

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 27 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

27

is the number of doubles Eric Hosmer hit in the Majors in 2011. It’s also the approximate number of times the MLB Network has had him as an on-air guest this offseason. They are quite shameless in their collective mancrush on the Hos. Here is the most recent appearance, an interview with Dan Plesac as part of ’30 Clubs in 30 Days.’

Those 27 doubles were 5th-most on the Royals, and also the 5th-most among all Major League rookies. Three of the four rookies ahead of Hosmer in doubles had significantly more plate appearances to collect just a couple more doubles than he did. Only the Mets’ Justin Turner doubled more than Hosmer in less – a LOT – less playing time than Hos.

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Mar 10

Opening Day Countdown: 28

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 28 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

28

was the number of strikeouts, and the number of hits surrendered by Francisley Bueno in the Dominican Winter League this year. Sure, I sort of had to reach for a number today, but I wanted to share this snippet from Bueno’s official player page on the Chasers website:

Signed by the Kansas City Royals as a Minor League free agent on Nov. 17, 2011. … Signed by the Atlanta Braves as a non-drafted free agent on Feb. 16, 2006. … Was ejected in his Major League debut on Aug. 13, 2008 for throwing at the head of the Cubs’ Alfonso Soriano. …

That certainly is more interesting than most tidbits in those player bios. And I suppose that made for a more memorable big league debut than many relievers get. Also, it is his only Major League appearance to this day. I always say, if you only get one shot, you might as well throw at somebody’s head?

DISCLAIMER: head injuries are not actually funny. My life is sort of in ruins thanks to having suffered one too many concussions. More about that in a later post.
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Mar 09

Opening Day Countdown: 29

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 29 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Cody Clark, again

29

was the age of Omaha catcher Cody Clark last year.  Clark  joined the Royals organization in 2007, which is the same year I started working for Omaha, so to me, it seems like he has been around since the beginning of time.

If Sal Perez and Brayan Pena are the Kansas City catchers, that leaves Manuel Pina and Max Ramirez as the most likely duo for Omaha, right? And if that’s the case, where does Cody Clark fit in? When the season starts, his spot is safe because Pina will still be recovering from knee surgery. But what then?

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Mar 08

Opening Day Countdown: 30

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 30 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

ZOOM OUT PLZ

Moose.

 

30

is the number of RBI Mike Moustakas had in the Majors last season.

You probably know my feelings on RBI, but hey, it’s a number 30! (Sorry, things are busy tonight. Me, phone it in? NEVAR!)

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Mar 07

Opening Day Countdown: 31

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 31 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Jeff Francis

Por que no?

31

is the number of starts Jeff Francis made for Kansas City last year, which I realized shortly after reading Nick Scott’s detailed look at why the Royals let Francis go but threw loads of cash at Bruce Chen.

Nick argues that it would have been cheap to keep Francis around, as he is currently on a minor league deal elsewhere. And he is probably almost certainly a better pitcher than Chen.

Of course, we’ve all looked at the 2012 starting rotation from every angle we can. A lot can happen between today and one month (!!) from now, and the rotation is certainly not set in stone. What would it have hurt to have Jeff Francis in that mix? I would rather have Francis as a rotation candidate than O’Sullivan, or Mazzaro, or Mendoza, etc.

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Mar 06

Opening Day Countdown: 32

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 32 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Mitch Maier and Johnny Giavotella

How handy that these two sat together; not sure how else I'd get both of them in one shot.

32

is the number of times both Johnny Giavotella and Mitch Maier struck out in 2011. The same number tells different stories for two very different players.

For Giavotella, the number is high for him, compared to his minor league numbers, but it’s also excusable for lots of reasons. You could be concerned because he never struck out at more than an 11.3% rate in the Minors (compared to 17.1% in MLB), or you could excuse it because he was a rookie, and still struck out less than an average Major Leaguer. His 32 strikeouts aren’t necessarily a reason to panic or sour on the guy.

For Maier, jeez, those 32 strikeouts are ugly. He only got 113 plate appearances last season, and 28.3% of them ended in Ks. That’s not good. The longest-tenured Royal, Maier is also the most tortured when it comes to playing time. His career is in a perilous place now as he approaches his age 30 season. I’m guessing Dayton Moore knew last year that his 2012 outfield was going to be Gordon/Frenchy/Cain. Or, if the Melky trade had fallen through, I think Maier would still be the odd man out.

So each of his precious few plate appearances was crucial. Now, I don’t know the guy – I’ve barely said more than “what’s up” to him – so I am of course speculating here, but I have to wonder how much he was pressing. He’s probably not stupid (again, I don’t know him), so of course he sees what’s going on with the roster around him while he’s not getting younger. Of course he realized that every game was a rare opportunity to showcase himself.

But what’s really weird is, Maier didn’t swing at more garbage like you might expect. I figured he probably took a lot of bad hacks, because the easy story arc would suggest that a player (possibly) panicking about his career would flail at everything, but the numbers don’t bear that out. He swung at fewer pitches outside of the strike zone than any of his previous seasons, and fewer pitches inside the strike zone. Huh.

Side note: How good is it to be able to listen to baseball again? I turned on the Royals game this afternoon, and everything was A-OK. I had given myself a heap of extraordinarily tedious work to do all afternoon, but having a game on made it all go so pleasantly. And the winning run was driven in at like 4:58. Perfection.

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Mar 05

Opening Day Countdown: 33

Let’s see if I can come up with a post every day of the rest of the offseason. Today, there are 33 days left until Opening Day on April 6.

Mendoza

33

is the number of games in which Luis Mendoza pitched for Omaha last season. Mendoza was named PCL pitcher of the year with 12 wins and a 2.18 ERA, if you’re into that kind of thing. He didn’t rely on strikeouts to keep opponents from scoring (5.1 K/9), but rather, his success came by his allowing just 7.9 hits per nine innings. That was the 2nd-lowest figure in the PCL among pitchers with at least 100 IP, and it is the lowest mark over any full season of Mendoza’s career.

The official word from the Royals is that Mendoza is a candidate for the starting rotation. Craig Brown at Royals Authority is less optimistic, and notes that Mendoza’s great season is right in line with numerous  cliche “comeback” type of stories.

It would be awesome if the Mendoza who pitched flawlessly in those two late-September games was the real Mendoza, but that was September, and just two games of it at that. Perhaps the adjustments he made last season were the golden ticket indicating that he has everything figured out. That would be neat! But I won’t hold my breath. I’ll just hope for the best, because hoping for things that aren’t likely to happen is what I’ve been doing with this team for 23 years now.

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